Our Predictions: 2018 Semifinal Two

Our picks for the first Semi were difficult to make because there were so many acts that deserved to qualify. Our picks for the second Semi were difficult to make because we knew that 10 acts had to qualify.

Kieran has once again submitted picks. We strongly urged him not to pick San Marino, so if they actually make it to the Final, he is going to be really mad at us.

Jen:

  • Norway
  • Romania
  • Denmark
  • Moldova
  • Netherlands
  • Australia
  • Poland
  • Hungary
  • Sweden
  • Ukraine
Chris:

  • Norway
  • Denmark
  • Russia
  • Moldova
  • Australia
  • Georgia
  • Poland
  • Hungary
  • Sweden
  • Ukraine
Kieran:

  • Norway
  • Denmark
  • Russia
  • Moldova
  • Australia
  • Poland
  • Latvia
  • Sweden
  • Slovenia
  • Ukraine

Norway: Alexander Rybak – “That’s How You Write a Song”

Jen – Q. Confidence: High.
Chris – Q. Confidence: High.
Kieran – Q.

Long live the King of Eurovision. Even if his song is pants.

Romania: The Humans – “Goodbye”

Jen – Q. Confidence: Low.
Chris – NQ. Confidence: Medium.
Kieran – NQ.

A quote from Kid Lemur: “Wait, they’re doing the mannequin challenge? That is so 2016.” Jen is picking them because… she doesn’t know why.

Serbia: Sanja Ilić and Balkanika – “Nova deca”

Jen – NQ. Confidence: Medium.
Chris – NQ. Confidence: Low.
Kieran – NQ.

While not as jarring as Macedonia’s entry, the variety of style changes in “Nova deca” may be its undoing.

San Marino: Jessika feat. Jenifer Brening – “Who We Are”

Jen – NQ. Confidence: High.
Chris – NQ. Confidence: High.
Kieran – NQ.

If San Marino had filled the stage with angry orange robots that can’t stop trolling people on Twitter, then their staging would have made a lot more sense.

Denmark: Rasmussen – “Higher Ground”

Jen – Q. Confidence: Low.
Chris – Q. Confidence: Medium.
Kieran – Q.

As bored with “Higher Ground” as we are at this point, Rasmussen does stand out in a crowd.

Russia: Julia Samoylova – “I Won’t Break”

Jen -NQ. Confidence: Low.
Chris – Q. Confidence: Medium.
Kieran – Q.

Russia has never had a problem qualifying and even if they did, we Americans figure they can hack their way out of trouble, right? Fire up them servers, boys. You got some work to do.

Moldova: DoReDos – “My Lucky Day”

Jen – Q. Confidence: High.
Chris – Q. Confidence: High.
Kieran – Q.

Moldova’s staging for “My Lucky Day” is absolutely delightful. We foresee another top five finish on Saturday might.

Netherlands: Waylon – “Outlaw In ‘Em”

Jen – Q. Confidence: Low.
Chris – NQ. Confidence: Low.
Kieran – NQ.

We like the song, but the artist singing it hasn’t exactly covered himself in glory in the past week and a half. It has become very easy for us to root against him. Not that this method acting has any bearing on the live performance, mind you. How uncomfortable the staging is on television will be another matter.

Australia: Jessica Mauboy – “We Got Love”

Jen – Q. Confidence: Low.
Chris – Q. Confidence: Low.
Kieran – Q.

We have an emerging story about gender politics at this year’s Eurovision, and it’s not just about Netta and Eleni. Jessica’s spark has been somewhat diminished in rehearsals due to fan nastiness. We hope she can find a way to a joyful and effervescent performance.

Georgia: Iriao – “For You”

Jen – NQ. Confidence: High.
Chris – Q. Confidence: Low.
Kieran – NQ.

We have no idea what anyone is going to make of “For You,” but regardless of what happens, we encourage Georgia to continue thinking outside the Eurovision box. Chris is picking them because… he doesn’t know why.

Poland: Gromee feat. Lukas Meijer – “Light Me Up”

Jen – Q. Confidence: Medium.
Chris – Q. Confidence: Low.
Kieran – Q.

It’s cheesy. It’s soooooooooo cheesy. But since when was that a problem with a Eurovision entry? On the night, with the crowd, we think this will come off okay.

Malta: Christabelle – “Taboo”

Jen – NQ. Confidence: Medium.
Chris – NQ. Confidence: Medium.
Kieran – NQ.

We’re not sure we would understand the story Malta is trying to tell had we not read about it beforehand.

Hungary: AWS – “Viszlát nyár”

Jen – Q. Confidence: Low.
Chris – Q. Confidence: Medium.
Kieran – NQ.

Chris is digging his heels in and saying this is a lock to qualify. Jen is not so sure because AWS may not be strong enough vocally. Kieran doesn’t like the song because, as mentioned, we’re not raising a rock and roll kid.

Latvia: Laura Rizzotto – “Funny Girl”

Jen – NQ. Confidence: Low.
Chris – NQ. Confidence: Medium.
Kieran – Q.

Latvia has gone all in on Laura’s ease on stage and her eye for the camera. Let’s see if that will be enough. Tuesday’s results, and Hungary’s big arena energy right before, may give them reason to worry.

Sweden: Benjamin Ingrosso – “Dance You Off”

Jen – Q. Confidence: High.
Chris – Q. Confidence: High.
Kieran – Q.

The only thing certain in life are death, taxes, and Sweden qualifying for the Final with “Dance You Off.” Unless, or even if, his lighting rig fails.

Montenegro: Vanja Radovanović – “Inje”

Jen – NQ. Confidence: Low.
Chris – NQ. Confidence: Low.
Kieran – NQ.

It’s probably a bad idea to bet against a Montenegrin ballad, since they have had a lot of success with them. We’re doing it anyway.

Slovenia: Lea Sirk – “Hvala, ne!”

Jen – NQ. Confidence: Low.
Chris – NQ. Confidence: Medium.
Kieran – Q.

We love this song. However, we follow people on Twitter who also love this song and are weeping openly about the staging. Kieran doesn’t care because he can still dance to it.

Ukraine: Melovin – “Under the Ladder”

Jen – Q. Confidence: High.
Chris – Q. Confidence: High.
Kieran – Q.

Vampires in Lisbon, come alive!

5 thoughts on “Our Predictions: 2018 Semifinal Two”

  1. I feel it is kinda easier, but I might be proven wrong by the end of the night. I won’t be surprised if I get less picks right compared to Tuesday:

    Norway
    Romania
    Denmark
    Moldova
    Australia
    Poland
    Hungary
    Latvia
    Sweden
    Ukraine

    1. We have been going back and forth on Latvia and we’re still not sure we got this right!

      1. I think Laura Rizzotto might be this year’s Isaiah, as in, the kind of act largely supported by juries only.

  2. First of all: love your site, I check it every year around Eurovision time.
    Being Dutch, please let me ask you to not judge Waylon based on the media row that is going on at this point. There is definitely 2 sides to this story, and only one is reported. I have read the articles in the 2 Dutch news papers (tabloids, by the way) he won’t talk to anymore, and in his shoes, I would do the same. The articles were subjective and vicious, more than knowledgeable, objective and critical. Even way before the staging was known. That said, I do agree with you on his act, it does not fit the song at all, I am afraid he won’t make it even though the song and his singing capabilities are solid. Too bad.
    Funny, but my list is exactly like Chris’s, even in order, although I do think Australia should improve the vocal performance to go through.

    1. That is a fair point. I can understand his stance given that, although I still think he could have handled himself better in that situation. The staging really is more of our concern. The clips we’ve seen make us a little uncomfortable, so we need to see how it plays out. For us, it’s frustrating, because “Outlaw In ‘Em” is a good song and written with Jim Beavers, who is one of (if not the) best songwriters in Nashville. So we’re frustrated, I guess, because he added an unnecessary gimmick to his staging that he didn’t really need, and it may backfire on him.

Comments are closed.