Our Predictions: 2018 Grand Final

So here it is, the day of the Eurovision Song Contest 2018 Grand Final. We have lived with these songs for months and their staging for a couple of weeks. We’ve followed the discussions on the ESC Nation message boards and on Twitter, the fluctuation of the betting charts, all the charts on the Eurovision Tracker, and…

And we genuinely have no idea what’s going to happen. That’s because the one thing we can never learn from all that research is this: on the night, what song is going to resonate with the widest swath of people?

We started following the national finals and all the Eurovision news and analysis sites to help us get a good idea of which songs would do well on the night. We wanted to make better predictions.

It helped to a certain degree, but a lot of times our picks would have been just as good if we flipped a coin or drew flags out of a hat (we’ve tried both). Sometimes we don’t feel like we know more than we did back in December.

The thing is, the predictions aren’t really important anymore. We just really enjoy the process. The journey we take during each Eurovision season is a lot more significant to us then getting 9 out of 10.

On the night, all we here at Eurovision Lemurs have are our guts. As it has always been. Here’s what our guts say.

Jen:

  1. Israel
  2. France
  3. Cyprus
  4. Moldova
  5. Bulgaria
  6. Sweden
  7. Norway
  8. Australia
  9. Ukraine
  10. Ireland

Last Place: Spain

Chris:

  1. France
  2. Israel
  3. Cyprus
  4. Moldova
  5. Bulgaria
  6. Ukraine
  7. Sweden
  8. Germany
  9. Hungary
  10. Norway

Last Place: Spain

By the way, Kieran declined to do a top 10. We think the disappointment from his Semifinal results got to him. The kid’s a perfectionist!

But he did say he thinks Moldova is going to win, Israel will come second, France will come third, and Italy will finish last.

8 thoughts on “Our Predictions: 2018 Grand Final”

  1. I think Kieran did very well actually. He got Ireland right! 🙂 And Slovenia, too… who saw that coming? How old is he now?

      1. Great show indeed. And the scoring proces was exiting right untill the end this year. Our party was absolutely shocked by the televotes for Australia and Sweden. I personally was very pleasantly surprised by Austria’s results. It was one of my favorites, (it got 4 of my 20 votes), but I did not see that coming.

  2. I think with predictions there is always a danger of over-analysing, so in the end you gotta go for your gut. My gut says, Eleni will win, Netta will somewhat flop, AWS will surprise and there is going to be a lot of heartbreak by the end of tonight. I also suspect the winner is not going to score more than 500-520 points.

    1. Cyprus
    2. France
    3. Sweden
    4. Moldova
    5. Hungary
    6. Israel
    7. Estonia
    8. Ukraine
    9. Czech Republic
    10. Bulgaria

    LP: United Kingdom (some things must not change).

    1. 6 out of 10! You did better than we did. We wondered if we should have picked UK for last, but it really felt like Spain was going to be destroyed by that 2 slot. You were about right with the point totally of the winners, too.

      1. Not bad, I guess. Probably was wrong of me to underestimate Israel’s chances. I just thought like with Italy last year the hype had passed. Anyway, who saw Austria coming? And Sweden? Looks like the public is tired of polished Swedish pop, yet the juries exclaim, “give us more”! Something has to be done with the whole voting system, I mean, this is not good when countries that juries rank 1st and 2nd end up mid-table or bottom with the public. The results of this contest will have repercussions…

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