Our Predictions: 2019 Grand Final

It’s Saturday, May 18, and the 2019 Eurovision Song Contest still feels like anyone’s competition. Considering at least one of us has trouble picking the winner even when the winner is obvious (*ahemchrisahem*), choosing the champion this year seems daunting.

But we are both in agreement on who we think will take the crown, even though she’s already wearing one.

Jen:

  1. Australia
  2. The Netherlands
  3. France
  4. Sweden
  5. Iceland
  6. Italy
  7. Switzerland
  8. Russia
  9. North Macedonia
  10. Greece

Last Place: Germany

Chris:

  1. Australia
  2. The Netherlands
  3. Italy
  4. Iceland
  5. Sweden
  6. France
  7. Russia
  8. Greece
  9. Azerbaijan
  10. Malta

Last Place: Germany

In the past decade, the Eurovision Song Contest winner has come from as high as 10th in the draw (“Heroes”) and as low as 22nd (“Toy” and “Satellite”).  Of the acts we see as contenders, The Netherlands, France, Italy, and Iceland are performing within that range. Switzerland, Australia, and particularly Sweden and Russia are not.

So we should pick The Netherlands to win. They are still the odds leader going into tonight’s show and they were given about as good a place to perform as they could after drawing into the first half.

And we both would normally count Australia out by going second to last, because audience fatigue usually sets in by then. But we also think that their staging is a triumph. If anyone is flagging towards the end of the show, Kate Miller-Heidke should easily wake them up. She will be fresh in everyone’s minds when the voting opens.

That said, our confidence on our choice is pretty low. We can make rational arguments for every country we picked in our top five, so we would not be surprised if The Netherlands, France, Iceland, Italy, or even Sweden won. But both of our guts say Australia.

We also agree is that Germany is going to finish dead last. They are fourth in the running order with a mediocre song that is not staged particularly well. On their brows we see that written which is Doom.